Tim Myers provides some good analysis of local races in the Santa Clarita Valley Signal. I appreciated his thoughts on my chances going into the June 5th primary and happen to agree with him on how much of a factor Name ID will have on the outcome.
|Speaking to Ventura County "Spring Fling" attendees|
“In the case of party affiliation for 38th Assembly District candidate Edward Headington and Dr. Lee Rogers, sharing the advantage of being the only identified Democrats in their respective races means they will probably sail through to the run-off in November with 35 percent to 40 percent of the vote. Headington might even find himself coming first in the primary with a plurality of the vote due to Republican candidates offering a three-way split of support.
|Speaking at COC Candidate Forum with Scott Wilk|
"For the remaining three Republicans in the Assembly race, a real horse race exists. I believe name recognition will trump all other factors. This gives Paul Strickland and Patricia McKeon an edge - Paul due to a reported faux belief that he is related to state Sen. Tony Strickland. I see Patricia McKeon finishing slightly ahead and going through to the general election to face Headington - and probably prevailing in this newly drawn majority Republican district."
Source: Myers, Tim. "Does Facebook fury transfer to ballot victory?" Santa Clarita Valley Signal. 5/26/12.